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TODAY'S TIMES

BORROWED OPINIONS
How Slow Can It Go?

Last week, when the government reported that the economy had slowed to a crawl in the first quarter of the year, any lingering hope for robust employment growth was tempered accordingly. But no one was quite prepared for a job report as weak as the one released yesterday. Only 88,000 jobs were created in April, the smallest gain in nearly two and half years and a sharp deceleration from job growth in the recent past.

Predictably, the slowdown was reflected in Americans’ paychecks. Weekly earnings are up over the past year. But of late, the rate of increase has dropped significantly. A squeeze on jobs and paychecks is the last thing Americans need right now.

Though the economy has been expanding for more than five years, wages and salaries for most workers have picked up in earnest only in the past year. And now hiring and pay increases appear to be slowing before many families have had the chance to rebuild their finances. For many people, mortgage payments are also being adjusted upward as home prices fall, making it harder for them to refinance their debts. At the same time, the price of everyday essentials, like food and gasoline, is rising. And life’s big-ticket items, like health care and education, are increasingly expensive, even as employers and government shoulder less of those costs.

If this strain on family finances ends up curbing consumers’ spending, the economy at large will be in danger of a recession. The Federal Reserve would probably try to counter such a downturn by cutting interest rates. But rate cuts are not magic. Their effectiveness would depend on the depth of the recession and the ways the lower rates reverberated through global markets.

More likely, the real solutions will have to be political, not merely technical. When the next downturn hits in force, it will become painfully clear that American workers have not shared in the benefits of Bush-era economic growth in any way commensurate with their hard work and productivity.

The nation will need policies — and leaders — to reconnect economic growth with rising living standards, for all.

Rox said:
 
But...but...the economy is booming!
 
posted 931 days ago
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Yep, see the Billionaires for Bush link.
 
posted 929 days ago
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Vaughn Tolle said:
 
Nobody needs to tell me that the economy is "slowing"; all I need to do is look at the billings I send not being paid. Then, there are the daily calls from folks being sued to foreclose the mortgages on their homes. Good folks who fell for the "teaser" rates, the subprime mortgage loans so they could get a piece of the "American Dream". There's not a lot an attorney can do to help an individual in this predicament, especially one who knew the rate and thus the payment would go up in a few years, and was counting on salary increase/increase in value of the residence to be able to either pay the new payment, or refinance the first loan. When this didn't happen, they are the losers.

It boils down to this: the economy is doing quite well for some, but for the majority of the good people I deal with on a daily basis, it just isn't doing very well for them. Increases in gasoline prices combined with increased costs for food and other "necessaries" with no corresponding increase in wages, real or otherwise, leaves less in the bank for other spending.

With the number of foreclosures rising nationally, and now locally (see story in the Sunday Eagle), real estate values are depressed. Apartment rents will increase, I am sure, as there is and will be increased demand for rental property, but the mandatory credit checks required by many of the "big time" landlords will show the foreclosure, thus making the applicants not a good risk to whom to rent, driving them to the less scrupulous "landlords" or to properties which are not suitable for their use. So it goes.
 
posted 929 days ago
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Vaughn Tolle said:
 
$4/gallon gasoline? Some say it's coming this summer, AAA disagrees. Cause? Refineries shut down, some still due to damage from Hurricanes Katrina and Rita, some for maintenance "taking longer than normal".

http://money.cnn.com/2007/05/07/news/economy/gas_p...
 
posted 929 days ago
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