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SMILING JOE ON THE STUMP

ELECTION '08

Federalism, Not Partition

Published: 10/03/2007

By Joseph R. Biden Jr. and Leslie H. Gelb

The Washington Post

The Bush administration and Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki greeted last week's Senate vote on Iraq policy -- based on a plan we proposed in 2006 -- with misrepresentations and untruths. Seventy-five senators, including 26 Republicans, voted to promote a political settlement based on decentralized power-sharing. It was a life raft for an Iraq policy that is adrift.

Instead, Maliki and the administration -- through our embassy in Baghdad -- distorted the Biden-Brownback amendment beyond recognition, charging that we seek to "partition or divide Iraq by intimidation, force or other means."

We want to set the record straight. If the United States can't put this federalism idea on track, we will have no chance for a political settlement in Iraq and, without that, no chance for leaving Iraq without leaving chaos behind.

First, our plan is not partition, though even some supporters and the media mistakenly call it that. It would hold Iraq together by bringing to life the federal system enshrined in its constitution. A federal Iraq is a united Iraq but one in which power devolves to regional governments, with a limited central government responsible for common concerns such as protecting borders and distributing oil revenue.

Iraqis have no familiarity with federalism, which, absent an occupier or a dictator, has historically been the only path to keeping disunited countries whole. We can point to our federal system and how it began with most power in the hands of the states. We can point to similar solutions in the United Arab Emirates, Spain and Bosnia. Most Iraqis want to keep their country whole. But if Iraqi leaders keep hearing from U.S. leaders that federalism amounts to or will lead to partition, that's what they will believe.

The Bush administration's quixotic alternative has been to promote a strong central government in Baghdad. That central government doesn't function; it is corrupt and widely regarded as irrelevant. It has not produced political reconciliation -- and there is no evidence it will.

Second, we are not trying to impose our plan. If the Iraqis don't want it, they won't and shouldn't take it, as the Senate amendment makes clear. But Iraqis and the White House might consider the facts. Iraq's constitution already provides for a federal system. As for the regions forming along sectarian lines, the constitution leaves the choice to the people of its 18 provinces.

The White House can hardly complain that we would force unwanted solutions on Iraqis. President Bush did not hesitate to push Prime Minister Ibrahim al-Jafari out of office to make way for Maliki, and he may yet do the same to Maliki.

The United States has responsibilities in Iraq that we cannot run away from. The Iraqis will need our help in explaining and lining up support for a federal solution. With 160,000 Americans at risk in Iraq, with hundreds of billions of dollars spent, and with more than 3,800 dead and nearly 28,000 wounded, we also have a right to be heard.

Third, our plan would not produce "suffering and bloodshed," as a U.S. Embassy statement irresponsibly suggested. And it is hard to imagine more suffering and bloodshed than we've already seen from government-tolerated militias, jihadists, Baathists and administration ineptitude. More than 4 million Iraqis have fled their homes, most for fear of sectarian violence.

The Bush administration should be helping Iraqis make federalism work -- through an agreement over the fair distribution of oil revenue; the safe return of refugees; integrating militia members into local security forces; leveraging the shared interest of other countries in a stable Iraq; and refocusing capacity-building and aid on the provinces and regions -- not scaring them off by equating federalism to partition, sectarianism and foreign bullying.

To confuse matters more, the administration has conjured a "bottom-up" strategy that looks like federalism and smells like federalism -- but is, in reality, a recipe for chaos.

"Bottom-up" seems to mean that the United States will support any group, anywhere, that will fight al-Qaeda or Shiite extremists. Now, it always made sense to seek allies among tribal chiefs to fight common terrorist enemies. But to simply back these groups as they appear, without any overall political context or purpose, is to invite anarchy. Nothing will fragment Iraq more than a bottom-up approach that pits one group against another and fails to knit these parts into governable wholes.

Federalism is the one formula that fits the seemingly contradictory desires of most Iraqis to remain whole and of various groups to govern themselves for the time being. It also recognizes the reality of the choice we face in Iraq: a managed transition to federalism or actual partition through civil war.

Joseph R. Biden Jr. (D-Del.) is chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee. Leslie H. Gelb is president emeritus of the Council on Foreign Relations.

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ELECTION '08
Vaughn Tolle said:
 
Oh, oh, the nasty old Council on Foreign Relations again rears its ugly head!

Senator Biden is correct here. There is not any evidence adduced to date that a strong central government will work in Iraq. None. Well, except that part about a dictator....

He also calls a "spade a spade" when discussing the "bottom up" assertions made by the Administration. There's nothing about what I see happening which supports this assertion. Rather, going a bit further than Senator Biden, I see this as no more than getting rid of AQI from the areas (e.g., Anbar) to cement the influence of the sheik (warlord) in the area, at which time the persisting enmity between the Sunnis and the Shia will rise to the top. I know he suggests this without identifying the parties, but what the heck...

I know W slept through his basic political science class at Yale, but the Federalism suggested by Sen. Biden is modeled in great part on what was originally brought forth by our Constitution; a federal system of governance, with certain identified powers brought into the new national government, with the majority of things left to the several states. While our Civil War did much to discredit some of this, it served the U.S. well for some 70 years. I'd suggest that the Iraqis be given the same opportunity.
 
posted 772 days ago
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Bush doesn't want peace in Iraq. Maliki will do whatever Bush tells him to do, because if he doesn't, he'll be out of a job and looking for the quickest way out of the country.

Have you ever seen anyone who enjoys war and bloodshed as much as this administration?
 
posted 772 days ago
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Vaughn Tolle said:
 
Rox, al Maliki wouldn't make it out of the country, assuming W availed himself of the tools used by other Presidents when wanting to remove "undesirable" heads of state.

The "war and bloodshed" comment is what I was attempting to discuss in one of my posts responsive to your youtube link when I referenced the desire for hegemony. Worked (for a while) for the Romans; there are other examples in history, both ancient and modern, but the Romans came to mind as they were successful with it the longest.
 
posted 772 days ago
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